BaileFoilseacháinFoilseacháin 2017

National Risk Assessment 2017 – Overview of Strategic Risks


The Government is today publishing the final National Risk Assessment 2017 – Overview of Strategic Risks. This follows consultation on a draft National Risk Assessment that was published in June. This is the fourth National Risk Assessment produced by Government to ensure a broad-based and inclusive debate on the risks facing the country and to assist in ensuring appropriate prevention and mitigation measures are introduced as needed.


The National Risk Assessment gives us an opportunity to step back from our day-to-day concerns and consider the strategic risks that face the country over the medium and long term. By rigorously identifying strategic risks, we can create the right foundations to ensure that they are managed and their impacts minimised.


Changes since last year include the intensification of risks arising from external sources, including from the UK’s withdrawal from the EU and a more general perception of increased geopolitical instability. The National Risk Assessment acknowledges the significance of risk arising from Brexit, and that Brexit represents an overarching theme that could have far-reaching impacts on nearly all aspects of national life, while also noting the importance of keeping sight of other strategic risks.


Brexit and possible changes to US trade and tax policy present risks to the performance of the Irish economy while ongoing internal risks include those posed by legacy issues and competitiveness pressures. Given its significance, climate change is included as a discrete risk this year, while human capital and skills needs are seen as issues of growing importance and the prominence of some technological risks has increased, including the potential for cyber-attacks or data fraud and theft to cause serious disruption.


Other significant risks identified include those arising from continued housing supply constraints, changing demographics and potentially unrealistic expectations for public expenditure.